Drilling down into the daily chart, we see that price has retraced from the last localised high achieved in the last week of November and then found support at the 100% retracement level resulting in a hint of positive divergence as price made a lower low while the stochastic made a slightly higher low. The stochastic is also oversold and looks to be reversing upwards towards its signal line.
On the support and resistance daily graph we see that price appears to be finding support at an upward sloping trend-line going back to June 2015
As indicated in the graph above, I'm going to trade this by looking to buy into further strength at an entry around R64.20 (above today's high) looking for a move back to overhead resistance at R68.50 with a stop set as a close below R62.70 (previous swing low) yielding a target reward-risk of 2.9-1. In the context of overall market weakness and the slightly bearish bias developing on the weekly chart I'd grade this trade at 75% of maximum risk.
*******************
Short on TKG entered at R58.80
ReplyDeletePIK long at R64.20
ReplyDeleteAfter yesterday's sell-off on PIK the support level was comprehensively broken with a close below stop so I've cut the losses at R60.61 which is a bit below the originally envisaged stop resulting in a 2.4-1 loss on the 5.6% price move
ReplyDeleteClosed out TKG after 3LB painted green but only managed a R63.24 exit so loss was 1.7 -1 on a 7.6% price movement
ReplyDelete